Title |
Supply-Demand Forecasting of Principal Engineers in Construction Industry Using System Dynamics |
Authors |
Kim, Sung-Tae ; Park, Moonseo ; Lee, Hyun-Soo ; An Sun-Ju ; Ryu, Han-Guk |
Keywords |
Admitted Engineer System(AES) ; Professional Engineers(PE) ; Principal Engineers ; System Dynamics(SD) |
Abstract |
By prosperous condition of construction economy in the early 90s in Korea, the government needed a lot of the qualified professional engineers (PE) to manage the construction site. In order to meet the high demand of P.E., Government has established the admitted engineer systems(AES) in 1995 that give the authority of principal engineers to the admitted engineers who do not take the written examination but have equivalent working experience. Since 2000, professional engineer°Øs shortage has been resolved. however, the opposite situation, which is serious over-supply of construction engineers has occurred. Thus, Government announced that would abolish the admitted engineer systems as recognized the existent admitted engineers(about 1,000,000 persons) from 2007. However, Professional Engineers Institution has strongly insisted that Government should not recognize existent admitted engineers. From this point of view, it is critical to make the supply-demand forecast systems as a derivative approach of System Dynamics also, that is useful in comparing the argument between Government and Professional Engineers Institution. This paper describes about principal engineer°Øs supply change by admitted engineer system abrogation and suggests the idea to regulate the supply and demand with the improvement of the regal system. |