Title |
A Study on Estimating of Probability Distribution and Mean Life of Bridge Member for Effective Maintenance of the Bdrige |
Authors |
Lee, Yongjun ; Lee, Minjae |
DOI |
http://dx.doi.org/10.6106/KJCEM.2016.17.4.057 |
Keywords |
Bridge Member ; Suvival Analysis ; Bridge Management System ; Mean Life ; Probability Distribution |
Abstract |
This study found a proper parametric life distribution based on maintenance history data of each bridge member under the jurisdiction of the Korea Expressway Corporation for the past 10 years by introducing the concept of reliability and suggested a measure to calculate the mean life and reliability of each bridge member using the parameter obtained with the maximum-likelihood classification. As a result of analyzing the exponential distribution, weibull distribution and log normal distribution being utilized frequently in order to find the parametric life distribution type which well described the life data of each bridge member, it was found that the log normal distribution and weibull distribution described the characteristics of the relevant life data the best. As a result of calculating the mean life of each bridge member based on the estimated parameter, the average life of the steel bridge coating was 18.51 years which was the longest, followed by the bridge deck as 17.56 years. The mean life of the drainage facility and the bridge bearing were 12.27 years and 12.57 years respectively, showing the shortest life. |